top of page
Search
RBA raise rates but vote closer than expected at 5-4
Good morning RBA did indeed raise rates 25bps to 4.1% in the early hours of this morning, citing higher domestic inflation risks as well as possible higher inflation as a result of the Middle East crisis The move pushed AUD higher despite being widely expected. AUDNZD is above 1.2100 for the first time in thirteen years and GBPAUD dipped to 1.8765 on the announcement. However GBPAUD soon turned around, trading up to 1.8875 before settling back at current levels around 1.
revansfx
Mar 173 min read
Central bank rate decisions fill the calendar this week
Good morning US data releases will be one hour earlier at 12.30 or 14.00 London time. FX option expiries will be 14.00 London time, not the usual 15.00 London time. This will be until Sunday 29 th March when we change our clocks in the UK. Welcome back, I hope you had a good weekend. Sports fans were treated to plenty of action including some terrific rugby in the final round of the Six Nations, England just losing out to tournament winners France in a thrilling
revansfx
Mar 163 min read
USD higher, oil higher, equities lower
Good morning US data releases will be one hour earlier at 12.30 or 14.00 London time due to the US clock changes that took place at the weekend. FX option expiries will be 14.00 London time, not the usual 15.00 London time. This will be until Sunday 29 th March when we change our clocks in the UK. I was supposed to have a physio session on my shoulder this morning but the local roads are shut due to trees being down. Every road out of where I live was gridlocked so
revansfx
Mar 133 min read
USDJPY at possible intervention levels
Good morning US data releases will be one hour earlier at 12.30 or 14.00 London time due to the US clock changes that took place at the weekend. FX option expiries will be 14.00 London time, not the usual 15.00 London time. This will be until Sunday 29 th March when we change our clocks in the UK. Reports of mines in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian attacks on commercial ships has pushed WTI and Brent back up towards $100 despite the agreement of IEA to release huge
revansfx
Mar 122 min read
US CPI inflation unlikely to encourage Fed rate cuts
Good morning US data releases will be one hour earlier at 12.30 or 14.00 London time due to the US clock changes that took place at the weekend. FX option expiries will be 14.00 London time, not the usual 15.00 London time. This will be until Sunday 29 th March when we change our clocks in the UK. No surprise that the Iranian war continues to dominate headlines, never sure exactly which headlines to believe, Trump always has a tendency to sound so positive but the I
revansfx
Mar 113 min read
Too early to be optimistic
Good morning US data releases will be one hour earlier at 12.30 or 14.00 london time due to the US clock changes that took place at the weekend. FX option expiries will be 14.00 london time, not the usual 15.00 london time. This will be until Sunday 29 th March when we change our clocks in the UK. Trump’s comments that the Iran war was ahead of schedule and may soon be over have brought some much-needed positivity to the markets. Oil prices are back below $100, a
revansfx
Mar 102 min read
Back in action
Well it’s been nigh on three weeks since my shoulder replacement operation and I’m starting to feel more normal. Thanks to all for their messages and apologies for not replying to all individually. Given I am right-handed and the operation was on my right shoulder, doing even the simplest of tasks has proved to be rather difficult and even though I was back at my desk last week, typing was slow, arduous and a tad painful, so I held off the return of my daily report until no
revansfx
Mar 95 min read
US bond yields higher, USD struggles, Bitcoin at record highs. But who cares because Spurs won the cup...
Good morning Well let’s start with the most splendid news from last night. Yes, Spurs beat Man Utd to win the Europa League final, in...
revansfx
May 22, 20253 min read
UK inflation comes in higher than expected, GBPUSD higher
Good morning Another reasonably meaningless day yesterday, European equities were generally higher led by the UKs FTSE 100 which posted...
revansfx
May 21, 20253 min read
Is Trump overplaying the chances of peace in Ukraine?
Good morning After a morning of USD selling yesterday following the downgrade of the US by Moodys, the markets calmed through the rest...
revansfx
May 20, 20253 min read
USD lower after Moody's US downgrade
Good morning I hope you had a great weekend. Mine was pretty full and I must admit to having over-indulged on more than one occasion...
revansfx
May 19, 20253 min read
USD up as US talks of cutting China tariffs
Good morning Well that was a pretty scorching weekend. I have to say if we had those temperatures for the whole year I’d be pretty...
revansfx
May 12, 20253 min read
BoE cuts 25bps to 4.25% as expected but decision not unanimous
Good morning BoE did indeed cut rates 25bps to 4.25% yesterday as had been expected but the voting was something of a surprise. Two...
revansfx
May 9, 20254 min read
BoE to cut rates 25bps; Will Trump announce trade deal with UK?
Good morning VE Day today, the 80th anniversary of Victory in Europe, marking the formal acceptance of all Germany’s unconditional...
revansfx
May 8, 20253 min read
GBP up on India trade news, RON lower as anti-EU Simion wins election
Good morning GBP outperformed yesterday helped in no small part by the announcement of a trade deal with India following. The...
revansfx
May 7, 20254 min read
Back to work after the long weekend, looking ahead to Fed and BoE rate announcements
Good morning I hope you all enjoyed the long weekend. It did get surprisingly chilly but remained dry other than a couple of small...
revansfx
May 6, 20253 min read
Will we start seeing a slowdown in the US labour market?
Good morning US and EU equities made small gains yesterday, while the US dollar gained into the London close, with GBPUSD trading down...
revansfx
May 2, 20253 min read
US economy contracts but Trump blames Biden
Good morning Welcome to May. We’re already one third of the way through the year and I feel it has come and gone very quickly. Not...
revansfx
May 1, 20253 min read
Big day for economic data, and we'll hear from Trump a few times
Good morning US equities had another decent day despite European markets looking more mixed yesterday. Overnight Asian markets were...
revansfx
Apr 30, 20253 min read
Spain and Portugal suffer huge, unexplained power outages
European stocks were up around 0.5% yesterday, faring slightly better that their US equivalents. Asian markets were also positive...
revansfx
Apr 29, 20253 min read
bottom of page
